Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000094 0.000099 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124 0.000133
2025-01-19 0.000084 0.000091 0.000099 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130 0.000145
2025-01-26 0.000076 0.000084 0.000093 0.000103 0.000116 0.000131 0.000150
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000082 0.000091 0.000104 0.000119 0.000138 0.000163
2025-02-09 0.000071 0.000080 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000147 0.000179
2025-02-16 0.000069 0.000080 0.000092 0.000107 0.000128 0.000155 0.000196
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000081 0.000094 0.000113 0.000137 0.000171 0.000224
2025-03-02 0.000066 0.000077 0.000091 0.000110 0.000135 0.000171 0.000229
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000074 0.000087 0.000106 0.000132 0.000169 0.000230
2025-03-16 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000106 0.000133 0.000174 0.000242
2025-03-23 0.000061 0.000072 0.000087 0.000107 0.000138 0.000183 0.000264
2025-03-30 0.000059 0.000070 0.000085 0.000106 0.000137 0.000185 0.000272
2025-04-06 0.000056 0.000067 0.000081 0.000102 0.000134 0.000183 0.000274
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000132 0.000182 0.000280
2025-04-20 0.000051 0.000061 0.000075 0.000095 0.000127 0.000177 0.000276
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000060 0.000075 0.000096 0.000129 0.000185 0.000298
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000098 0.000134 0.000196 0.000331
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000060 0.000075 0.000099 0.000138 0.000207 0.000367
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000061 0.000078 0.000104 0.000148 0.000230 0.000438
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000059 0.000075 0.000101 0.000145 0.000228 0.000443
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000098 0.000141 0.000223 0.000438
2025-06-08 0.000045 0.000056 0.000072 0.000098 0.000142 0.000228 0.000467
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073 0.000099 0.000147 0.000243 0.000527